Friday, July 18, 2014
UK buy-to-let investors warned of mayhem (Part 2)
The BOE's
new home-loan restrictions follow rules introduced in April after the Financial
Conduct Authority's Mortgage Market Review. The rules, which don't apply to
buy-to-let mortgages, require borrowers to prove they can afford to make
payments even if interest rates rise.
One in three
of the 50 economists surveyed by Bloomberg predict an increase this year from
the record-low 0.5% benchmark rate the BOE has maintained since March 2009.
Aldermore Bank plc, which provided Mr Kordestani with his last mortgage, offers
a two-year fixed rate buy-to-let loan of 4.08% for 70% of a home's value,
according to the lender's website.
The
Financial Conduct Authority said it will consider buy-to-let when it reviews
the impact of its latest rule changes. The BOE, in its first set of stress
tests, will assess the country's eight biggest lenders on how they would cope
if interest rates rose to 4% and house prices dropped by 35%.
"That
is an approach across the housing market, which will allow us to test
buy-to-let lending as well as the owner-occupier market," Andrew Bailey,
BOE deputy governor for prudential regulation, said at a June 26 press
conference. "It's not that we're going to ignore the buy-to-let market in
terms of the supervisory oversight and observation."
Mr Carney
told lawmakers on Parliament's Treasury Committee in London on Tuesday that the central bank is
closely watching the buy-to-let market. "Current underwriting standards
are in line with historical patterns and didn't warrant a response at this
stage."
In London,
buy-to-let investors took out more than GBP750 million of mortgages during the
first quarter, which had more than 10 times the impact on prices compared with
the government's Help-to-Buy lending assistance program, according to a May
report by Morgan Stanley analysts including Huw Van Steenis.
Almost half
of the new homes bought in the city last year were buy-to-let, according to
asset manager London Central Portfolio Ltd.
Home values
are rising faster than rents, That pushed down yields, which is rental income
as a proportion of the purchase price, to 6.3% in the second quarter from 6.4%
in the previous three months, Mortgages for Business said in July.
The
small-landlord market could climb further from April 2015 when changes to
government policy will give pensioners control over how they spend their
retirement savings. Currently they must invest in an annuity - an annual income
from a life insurer.
That's
"freed up potentially a large flow of additional funds to go into the
housing market", some of which may go to buy-to-let, said Wood at
Berenberg Bank. - Bloomberg
Info source: BT
The higher property prices/ lower rental yields due to the increasing number of "buy-to-let" in the UK is of concern not only to local landlords but even more so for overseas investors, which typically buy for rental purposes. Although the "rent rather than buy" culture has traditionally been strong amongst UK home-dwellers, the deluge of new homes that are being put onto the market will continue to put a damper on rental prospects and yields.
This is something that potential investors into UK properties should take into consideration of.
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